uncertainty in risk assessment the representation and treatment of uncertainties by probabilistic and non probabilistic methods

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Uncertainty In Risk Assessment

Author : Terje Aven
ISBN : 9781118763063
Genre : Mathematics
File Size : 29. 51 MB
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Explores methods for the representation and treatment of uncertainty in risk assessment In providing guidance for practical decision-making situations concerning high-consequence technologies (e.g., nuclear, oil and gas, transport, etc.), the theories and methods studied in Uncertainty in Risk Assessment have wide-ranging applications from engineering and medicine to environmental impacts and natural disasters, security, and financial risk management. The main focus, however, is on engineering applications. While requiring some fundamental background in risk assessment, as well as a basic knowledge of probability theory and statistics, Uncertainty in Risk Assessment can be read profitably by a broad audience of professionals in the field, including researchers and graduate students on courses within risk analysis, statistics, engineering, and the physical sciences. Uncertainty in Risk Assessment: Illustrates the need for seeing beyond probability to represent uncertainties in risk assessment contexts. Provides simple explanations (supported by straightforward numerical examples) of the meaning of different types of probabilities, including interval probabilities, and the fundamentals of possibility theory and evidence theory. Offers guidance on when to use probability and when to use an alternative representation of uncertainty. Presents and discusses methods for the representation and characterization of uncertainty in risk assessment. Uses examples to clearly illustrate ideas and concepts.

The Illusion Of Risk Control

Author : Gilles Motet
ISBN : 9783319329390
Genre : Technology & Engineering
File Size : 30. 65 MB
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This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. This book explores the implications of acknowledging uncertainty and black swans for regulation of high-hazard technologies, for stakeholder acceptability of potentially hazardous activities and for risk governance. The conventional approach to risk assessment, which combines the likelihood of an event and the severity of its consequences, is poorly suited to situations where uncertainty and ambiguity are prominent features of the risk landscape. The new definition of risk used by ISO, “the effect of uncertainty on [achievement of] one’s objectives”, recognizes this paradigm change. What lessons can we draw from the management of fire hazards in Edo-era Japan? Are there situations in which increasing uncertainty allows more effective safety management? How should society address the risk of potentially planet-destroying scientific experiments? This book presents insights from leading scholars in different disciplines to challenge current risk governance and safety management practice.

Contemporary Complex Systems And Their Dependability

Author : Wojciech Zamojski
ISBN : 9783319914466
Genre : Computers
File Size : 32. 94 MB
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This book presents the proceedings of the Thirteenth International Conference on Dependability and Complex Systems (DepCoS-RELCOMEX), which took place in the Brunów Palace in Poland from 2nd to 6th July 2018. The conference has been organized at the Faculty of Electronics, Wrocław University of Science and Technology since 2006, and it continues the tradition of two other events: RELCOMEX (1977–89) and Microcomputer School (1985–95). The selection of papers in these proceedings illustrates the broad variety of topics that are investigated in dependability analyses of today’s complex systems. Dependability came naturally as a contemporary answer to new challenges in the reliability evaluation of these systems. Such systems cannot be considered only as structures (however complex and distributed) built on the basis of technical resources (hardware): their analysis must take into account a unique blend of interacting people (their needs and behaviours), networks (together with mobile properties, cloud-based systems) and a large number of users dispersed geographically and producing an unimaginable number of applications (working online). A growing number of research methods apply the latest advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and computational intelligence (CI). Today’s complex systems are really complex and are applied in numerous different fields of contemporary life.

Safety And Reliability Of Complex Engineered Systems

Author : Luca Podofillini
ISBN : 9781315648415
Genre : Technology & Engineering
File Size : 41. 81 MB
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Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems contains the Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015, held 7-10 September 2015 in Zurich, Switzerland. It includes about 570 papers accepted for presentation at the conference. These contributions focus on theories and methods in the area of risk, safety and

The Handbook Of Groundwater Engineering Third Edition

Author : John H. Cushman
ISBN : 9781315354538
Genre : Science
File Size : 77. 20 MB
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This new edition adds several new chapters and is thoroughly updated to include data on new topics such as hydraulic fracturing, CO2 sequestration, sustainable groundwater management, and more. Providing a complete treatment of the theory and practice of groundwater engineering, this new handbook also presents a current and detailed review of how to model the flow of water and the transport of contaminants both in the unsaturated and saturated zones, covers the protection of groundwater, and the remediation of contaminated groundwater.

Implications Of Probabilistic Risk Assessment

Author : M. C. Cullingford
ISBN : STANFORD:36105030454453
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 38. 74 MB
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Proceedings Of The Institute Of Marine Engineering Science And Technology

Author :
ISBN : UCSD:31822033880485
Genre : Marine engineering
File Size : 38. 86 MB
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Energy Research Abstracts

Author :
ISBN : MINN:30000006283638
Genre : Power resources
File Size : 67. 68 MB
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Includes all works deriving from DOE, other related government-sponsored information and foreign nonnuclear information.

Seismological Research Letters

Author :
ISBN : STANFORD:36105132742938
Genre : Earthquakes
File Size : 85. 76 MB
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Bcpc International Congress Crop Science Technology Congress Proceedings

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ISBN : 1901396657
Genre : Crop science
File Size : 53. 59 MB
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The annual Congress is the leading international event for all those involved in the world-wide crop production industry. This title features the proceedings that include all the papers and poster papers presented. The three themes were: Crop Protection;Environment and Regulation; Crop Production and the Food Chain.

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