the voter s guide to election polls voter s guide to election polls hardcover

Download Book The Voter S Guide To Election Polls Voter S Guide To Election Polls Hardcover in PDF format. You can Read Online The Voter S Guide To Election Polls Voter S Guide To Election Polls Hardcover here in PDF, EPUB, Mobi or Docx formats.

Die Berechnung Der Zukunft

Author : Nate Silver
ISBN : 9783641112707
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 79. 69 MB
Format : PDF, ePub, Docs
Download : 502
Read : 868

Download Now


Zuverlässige Vorhersagen sind doch möglich! Nate Silver ist der heimliche Gewinner der amerikanischen Präsidentschaftswahlen 2012: ein begnadeter Statistiker, als »Prognose-Popstar« und »Wundernerd« weltberühmt geworden. Er hat die Wahlergebnisse aller 50 amerikanischen Bundesstaaten absolut exakt vorausgesagt – doch damit nicht genug: Jetzt zeigt Nate Silver, wie seine Prognosen in Zukunft Terroranschläge, Umweltkatastrophen und Finanzkrisen verhindern sollen. Gelingt ihm die Abschaffung des Zufalls? Warum werden Wettervorhersagen immer besser, während die Terrorattacken vom 11.09.2001 niemand kommen sah? Warum erkennen Ökonomen eine globale Finanzkrise nicht einmal dann, wenn diese bereits begonnen hat? Das Problem ist nicht der Mangel an Informationen, sondern dass wir die verfügbaren Daten nicht richtig deuten. Zuverlässige Prognosen aber würden uns helfen, Zufälle und Ungewissheiten abzuwehren und unser Schicksal selbst zu bestimmen. Nate Silver zeigt, dass und wie das geht. Erstmals wendet er seine Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung nicht nur auf Wahlprognosen an, sondern auf die großen Probleme unserer Zeit: die Finanzmärkte, Ratingagenturen, Epidemien, Erdbeben, den Klimawandel, den Terrorismus. In all diesen Fällen gibt es zahlreiche Prognosen von Experten, die er überprüft – und erklärt, warum sie meist falsch sind. Gleichzeitig schildert er, wie es gelingen kann, im Rauschen der Daten die wesentlichen Informationen herauszufiltern. Ein unterhaltsamer und spannender Augenöffner!

Problems In Equilibrium Theory

Author : Charalambos D. Aliprantis
ISBN : 9783662032336
Genre : Mathematics
File Size : 81. 83 MB
Format : PDF, Mobi
Download : 519
Read : 524

Download Now


This is the first book to teach the basic methods of proof and problem solving in General Equilibrium Theory at graduate level. The problems cover the entire spectrum of difficulty: some are routine, while others require a good grasp of the material involved, and some are even challenging. In searching for the basic required techniques, students will discover a wealth of new material, and are encouraged to arrive at solutions different from the ones presented in the book. Complete solutions to two hundred problems are provided.

A Parent Teacher Guide To Children S Books On Peace And Tolerance

Author : Bob Blumenthal
ISBN : 9781412042598
Genre : Children's literature
File Size : 81. 33 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
Download : 445
Read : 1123

Download Now


How do you teach children to value peace and appreciate diversity? One way is to provide them with books with themes that promote these ideas. The Parent / Teacher Guide to Children's Books on Peace and Tolerance offers readers a wide variety of award-winning titles along with annotations and grade level recommendations. The book is divided into the following sections: Preschool - grade three Grades 4 - 6 Middle school, and High school. Each section has over 100 listings. Topics include civil rights, the Holocaust, slavery, Native Americans, bullying, war, child abuse, bigotry, cooperation, acceptance, apartheid, family relationships, Arab/Israeli conflict, controlling anger, the Civil War, the Vietnam War, WWII, gays and lesbians, and other social issues. Many of these books are the recipients of the following awards and honors: Newbery Award, School Library Journal (starred review), Caldecott Award, Boston Globe Horn Book Award, American Library Association Notable Book, Jane Addams Children's Book Award, American Bookseller - Pick of the List, Kirkus Reviews (starred review), Publishers Weekly (starred review), Booklist (starred review), Coretta Scott King Award, VOYA Top Picks, National Book Award, and the Michael L. Printz Award. This guide is an excellent resource for parents who would like their children to become peace-loving, accepting adults. Teachers who are looking for books to supplement their curriculum will find the suggested titles to be among the best written works in the designated areas. For example, one would be hard pressed to find a better written book on the Holocaust for middle and high school students than I Have Lived One Thousand Years. The author has done a great service by providing parents and teachers with a list of books that cannot be found anywhere else.

Gpo Style Manual An Official Guide To The Form And Style Of Federal Government Publishing 2016 Hardcover

Author : Government Publishing Office
ISBN : 0160936020
Genre : Education
File Size : 37. 51 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
Download : 725
Read : 605

Download Now


Published since 1894, the GPO Style Manual is issued under the authority of section 1105 of title 44 of the U.S. Code by the Director of the GPO. The manual is prepared by the GPO Style Board as a guide to the style and form of Federal Government publishing. The GPO Style Manual has become a major reference source for professionals involved in the field of Federal printing and publishing. Designed to achieve uniform word and type treatment and economy of word use in the form and style of government printing, this manual has become to be widely recognized by writers and editors within and outside the Federal Government as one of the most useful resources in the editorial arsenal. In addition to a comprehensive revision the new Style Manual features: GPO's most recent digital initiatives Updates to foreign nation information Updates to State demonyms Treatment of words related to native entities recognized by the Federal Government Clarification of punctuation rules Updates to capitalization, abbreviations, and computer terms Inclusion of many suggestions from users Audience: Writers, editors, and others interested in the publishing field would find this manual useful. This reference is a "MUST HAVE" publication for content producers within the U.S. Federal Government --executive, judicial, and legislative branch agency offices. Other products produced by the United States Government Publishing Office can be found here: https: //bookstore.gpo.gov/agency/241 Paperback format of this print title can be found here: https: //bookstore.gpo.gov/products/sku/021-000-00218-6?ctid=241

Fec Journal Of Election Administration

Author :
ISBN : MINN:31951D00762401E
Genre : Elections
File Size : 39. 45 MB
Format : PDF, Docs
Download : 422
Read : 528

Download Now



The Politicos Guide To The 2015 General Election

Author : Iain Dale
ISBN : 9781849548076
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 73. 4 MB
Format : PDF, Docs
Download : 368
Read : 1251

Download Now


As the 2015 general election looms on the horizon, the only thing anyone can seem to agree on is that it will be unpredictable, not least because, for the first time in our history, we are experiencing the brave new world of four-party politics. Here, in one volume, is everything you need to know about what is shaping up to be one of the most exciting general elections of the last twenty years. In this unique guide to the state of the parties, policies and polls, you'll find expert predictions and commentary from political pundits, as well as all the facts and figures you need to make an informed decision at the ballot box. This essential guide includes: • Analysis of key marginal seats • Information about demographics, voting intentions and past electoral behaviour • Examples of historical precedent • Lists of prospective candidates • Profiles of the main party leaders • Articles on the role of social media and the traditional media • Breakdowns of regional and constituency data A book that will appeal to enthusiastic politicos and inquisitive voters alike, this is the essential guide to the most eagerly awaited general election in recent history.

Journal Of Election Administration

Author :
ISBN : COLUMBIA:CU13308432
Genre : Elections
File Size : 22. 14 MB
Format : PDF, Mobi
Download : 548
Read : 679

Download Now



Popular Computing

Author :
ISBN : MINN:319510019083810
Genre : Microcomputers
File Size : 86. 83 MB
Format : PDF, Mobi
Download : 105
Read : 402

Download Now



Cq Weekly

Author :
ISBN : UOM:39015073073002
Genre : United States
File Size : 81. 25 MB
Format : PDF, ePub
Download : 337
Read : 644

Download Now



Wie Demokratien Sterben

Author : Steven Levitsky
ISBN : 9783641222918
Genre : Political Science
File Size : 53. 54 MB
Format : PDF, Docs
Download : 932
Read : 908

Download Now


Ausgezeichnet mit dem NDR Kultur Sachbuchpreis 2018 als bestes Sachbuch des Jahres Demokratien sterben mit einem Knall oder mit einem Wimmern. Der Knall, also das oft gewaltsame Ende einer Demokratie durch einen Putsch, einen Krieg oder eine Revolution, ist spektakulärer. Doch das Dahinsiechen einer Demokratie, das Sterben mit einem Wimmern, ist alltäglicher – und gefährlicher, weil die Bürger meist erst aufwachen, wenn es zu spät ist. Mit Blick auf die USA, Lateinamerika und Europa zeigen die beiden Politologen Steven Levitsky und Daniel Ziblatt, woran wir erkennen, dass demokratische Institutionen und Prozesse ausgehöhlt werden. Und sie sagen, an welchen Punkten wir eingreifen können, um diese Entwicklung zu stoppen. Denn mit gezielter Gegenwehr lässt sich die Demokratie retten – auch vom Sterbebett.

Top Download:

Best Books