introduction to financial models for management and planning chapman hall crc finance

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Introduction To Financial Models For Management And Planning Second Edition

Author : James R. Morris
ISBN : 9781498765060
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 26. 53 MB
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A properly structured financial model can provide decision makers with a powerful planning tool that helps them identify the consequences of their decisions before they are put into practice. Introduction to Financial Models for Management and Planning, Second Edition enables professionals and students to learn how to develop and use computer-based models for financial planning. This volume provides critical tools for the financial toolbox, then shows how to use them tools to build successful models.

Introduction To Financial Models For Management And Planning

Author : James R. Morris
ISBN : 9781420090550
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 79. 39 MB
Format : PDF, Mobi
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A properly structured financial model can provide decision makers with a powerful planning tool that helps them identify the consequences of their decisions before they are put into practice. Introduction to Financial Models for Management and Planning enables professionals and students to learn how to develop and use computer-based models for financial planning. Providing critical tools for the financial toolbox, this volume shows how to use these tools to build successful models. Placing a strong emphasis on the structure of models, the book focuses on developing models that are consistent with the theory of finance and, at the same time, are practical and usable. The authors introduce powerful tools that are imperative to the financial management of the operating business. These include interactive cash budgets and pro forma financial statements that balance even under the most extreme assumptions, valuation techniques, forecasting techniques that range from simple averages to time series methods, Monte Carlo simulation, linear programming, and optimization. The tools of financial modeling can be used to solve the problems of planning the firm’s investment and financing decisions. These include evaluating capital projects, planning the financing mix for new investments, capital budgeting under capital constraints, optimal capital structure, cash budgeting, working capital management, mergers and acquisitions, and constructing efficient security portfolios. While the primary emphasis is on models related to corporate financial management, the book also introduces readers to a variety of models related to security markets, stock and bond investments, portfolio management, and options. This authoritative book supplies broad-based coverage and free access to @Risk software for Monte Carlo simulation, making it an indispensible text for professionals and students in financial management. Please contact customer service for access to the software if your copy of the book does not contain this information.

Monte Carlo Methods And Models In Finance And Insurance

Author : Ralf Korn
ISBN : 1420076191
Genre : Mathematics
File Size : 33. 2 MB
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Offering a unique balance between applications and calculations, Monte Carlo Methods and Models in Finance and Insurance incorporates the application background of finance and insurance with the theory and applications of Monte Carlo methods. It presents recent methods and algorithms, including the multilevel Monte Carlo method, the statistical Romberg method, and the Heath–Platen estimator, as well as recent financial and actuarial models, such as the Cheyette and dynamic mortality models. The authors separately discuss Monte Carlo techniques, stochastic process basics, and the theoretical background and intuition behind financial and actuarial mathematics, before bringing the topics together to apply the Monte Carlo methods to areas of finance and insurance. This allows for the easy identification of standard Monte Carlo tools and for a detailed focus on the main principles of financial and insurance mathematics. The book describes high-level Monte Carlo methods for standard simulation and the simulation of stochastic processes with continuous and discontinuous paths. It also covers a wide selection of popular models in finance and insurance, from Black–Scholes to stochastic volatility to interest rate to dynamic mortality. Through its many numerical and graphical illustrations and simple, insightful examples, this book provides a deep understanding of the scope of Monte Carlo methods and their use in various financial situations. The intuitive presentation encourages readers to implement and further develop the simulation methods.

Operational Risk Modelling And Management

Author : Claudio Franzetti
ISBN : 1439844771
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 34. 69 MB
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Taking into account the standards of the Basel Accord, Operational Risk Modelling and Management presents a simulation model for generating the loss distribution of operational risk. It also examines a multitude of management issues that must be considered when adjusting the quantitative results of a comprehensive model. The book emphasizes techniques that can be understood and applied by practitioners. In the quantitative portions of the text, the author supplies key concepts and definitions without stating theorems or delving into mathematical proofs. He also offers references for readers looking for further background information. In addition, the book includes a Monte Carlo simulation of risk capital in the form of a run-through example of risk calculations based on data from a quantitative impact study. Since the computations are too complicated for a scripting language, a prototypical software program can be downloaded from www.garrulus.com Helping you navigate the tricky world of risk calculation and management, this book presents two main building blocks for determining how much capital needs to be reserved for operational risk. It employs the loss distribution approach as a model for calculating the risk capital figure and explains risk mitigation through management and management’s actuations.

Pension Fund Risk Management

Author : Marco Micocci
ISBN : 9781439817544
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 90. 56 MB
Format : PDF, ePub, Mobi
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As pension fund systems decrease and dependency ratios increase, risk management is becoming more complex in public and private pension plans. Pension Fund Risk Management: Financial and Actuarial Modeling sheds new light on the current state of pension fund risk management and provides new technical tools for addressing pension risk from an integrated point of view. Divided into four parts, the book first presents the correct measurement of risk in pension funds, fund dynamics under a performance-oriented arrangement, an attribution model for monitoring the performance and risk of a defined benefit (DB) pension fund, and an optimal investment problem of a defined contribution (DC) pension fund under inflationary risk. It also describes a pension plan from a dynamic optimization viewpoint, the optimal asset allocation of U.S. pension funds, the identification of stakeholders’ risks, value-at-risk (VaR) methodology, and various effects on the asset allocation of DB pension schemes. The second section focuses on the effects of uncertainty on employer-provided DB private pension plan liabilities; wage-based lump sum payments by death, retirement, or dismissal by the employer; fundamental retirement changes; occupational pension insurance in Germany; and longevity risk securitization in pension schemes. In the third part, the book examines employers’ risks, accountability rules and regulations, useful actuarial analysis instruments, risk-based solvency regime in the Netherlands, and the impact of the 2008 global financial crisis on pension participants. The final part covers DB pension freezes and terminations of plans, the two-pillar social security system of Italy, the Greek social security system, the effect of a company’s unfunded pension liabilities on its stock market valuation, and the returns of Spanish balanced pension plans and portfolio performance. With contributions from well-known, international academics and professionals, this book will assist pension fund executives, risk managers, consultants, and academic researchers in attaining a clear picture of the integration of risks in the pension world. It offers a comprehensive, contemporary account of how to handle the risks involved with pension funds.

Quantitative Operational Risk Models

Author : Catalina Bolancé
ISBN : 9781439895931
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 52. 16 MB
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Using real-life examples from the banking and insurance industries, Quantitative Operational Risk Models details how internal data can be improved based on external information of various kinds. Using a simple and intuitive methodology based on classical transformation methods, the book includes real-life examples of the combination of internal data and external information. A guideline for practitioners, the book begins with the basics of managing operational risk data to more sophisticated and recent tools needed to quantify the capital requirements imposed by operational risk. The book then covers statistical theory prerequisites, and explains how to implement the new density estimation methods for analyzing the loss distribution in operational risk for banks and insurance companies. In addition, it provides: Simple, intuitive, and general methods to improve on internal operational risk assessment Univariate event loss severity distributions analyzed using semiparametric models Methods for the introduction of underreporting information A practical method to combine internal and external operational risk data, including guided examples in SAS and R Measuring operational risk requires the knowledge of the quantitative tools and the comprehension of insurance activities in a very broad sense, both technical and commercial. Presenting a nonparametric approach to modeling operational risk data, Quantitative Operational Risk Models offers a practical perspective that combines statistical analysis and management orientations.

Handbook Of Solvency For Actuaries And Risk Managers

Author : Arne Sandström
ISBN : 1439821321
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 28. 24 MB
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Reflecting the author’s wealth of experience in this field, Handbook of Solvency for Actuaries and Risk Managers: Theory and Practice focuses on the valuation of assets and liabilities, the calculation of capital requirement, and the calculation of the standard formula for the European Solvency II project. The first three sections of the book examine the solvency concept, historical development, and the role of solvency in an enterprise risk management approach. The text provides a general discussion on valuation, investment, and capital, along with modeling and measuring. It also covers dependence, risk measures, capital requirements, subrisks, aggregation, the main risks market, and credit, operational, liquidity, and underwriting risks. The last three sections focus on the European Solvency II project. Basing the material on CEIOPS final advice, the author presents the general ideas, valuation, investments, and funds of this project as well as the standard formula framework. He also includes all calibrations from previous quantitative impact studies and discusses the political progress of the project. A one-stop shop for actuaries and risk managers, this handbook offers a complete overview of solvency and the European Solvency II standard formula. It gives a clear definition and broad historical review of solvency and incorporates a comprehensive discussion of the theory behind the calculation of the capital requirement. Updates on solvency projects and issues are available at www.SolvencyII.nu

Portfolio Optimization

Author : Michael J. Best
ISBN : 9781439882733
Genre : Mathematics
File Size : 80. 71 MB
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Eschewing a more theoretical approach, Portfolio Optimization shows how the mathematical tools of linear algebra and optimization can quickly and clearly formulate important ideas on the subject. This practical book extends the concepts of the Markowitz "budget constraint only" model to a linearly constrained model. Only requiring elementary linear algebra, the text begins with the necessary and sufficient conditions for optimal quadratic minimization that is subject to linear equality constraints. It then develops the key properties of the efficient frontier, extends the results to problems with a risk-free asset, and presents Sharpe ratios and implied risk-free rates. After focusing on quadratic programming, the author discusses a constrained portfolio optimization problem and uses an algorithm to determine the entire (constrained) efficient frontier, its corner portfolios, the piecewise linear expected returns, and the piecewise quadratic variances. The final chapter illustrates infinitely many implied risk returns for certain market portfolios. Drawing on the author’s experiences in the academic world and as a consultant to many financial institutions, this text provides a hands-on foundation in portfolio optimization. Although the author clearly describes how to implement each technique by hand, he includes several MATLAB® programs designed to implement the methods and offers these programs on the accompanying CD-ROM.

The Fundamental Rules Of Risk Management

Author : Nigel Da Costa Lewis
ISBN : 9781439816202
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 63. 9 MB
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The consequences of taking on risk can be ruinous to personal finances, professional careers, corporate survivability, and even nation states. Yet many risk managers do not have a clear understanding of the basics. Requiring no statistical or mathematical background, The Fundamental Rules of Risk Management gives you the knowledge to successfully handle risk in your organization. The book begins with a deep investigation into the behavioral roots of risk. Using both historical and contemporary contexts, author Nigel Da Costa Lewis carefully details the indisputable truths surrounding many of the behavioral biases that induce risk. He exposes the fallacy of the wisdom of experts, explains why you cannot rely on regulators, outlines the characteristics of the "glad game," and demonstrates how high intelligence or lack thereof can lead to loss of hard-earned wealth. He also discusses the weaknesses and failures of modern risk management. Moving on to elements often overlooked by risk managers, Dr. Lewis traces the link between corporate governance and risk management. He then covers core lessons surrounding the role of risk managers as well as the difficult subject of integrated, single lens analysis of risk. The book also explores aspects of spreadsheet risk and draws on lessons learned in the information systems and software engineering communities to provide guidance on selecting the right risk management system. It concludes with a discussion on the most dominant of risk measures—value at risk. Having a clear understanding about risk separates successful professionals, companies, and economies from history’s forgotten failures. Through examples and case studies, this thought-provoking book shows how the rules of risk can work to protect and enhance investor value.

Stock Market Volatility

Author : Greg N. Gregoriou
ISBN : 1420099558
Genre : Business & Economics
File Size : 22. 68 MB
Format : PDF
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Up-to-Date Research Sheds New Light on This Area Taking into account the ongoing worldwide financial crisis, Stock Market Volatility provides insight to better understand volatility in various stock markets. This timely volume is one of the first to draw on a range of international authorities who offer their expertise on market volatility in developed, emerging, and frontier economies. The expert contributors cover stock market volatility modeling, portfolio management, hedge fund volatility, and volatility in developed countries and emerging markets. They present some of the vocational aspects, emphasizing the equity markets. The book approaches the material from the practitioner’s viewpoint and familiarizes readers with how volatility is linked to speculation, trading volume, and information arrival. It also discusses recent trends in forecasting volatility, along with the newly cultivated trading platform of volatility derivatives. Given the current state of high levels of volatility in global stock markets, money managers, financial institutions, investment banks, financial analysts, and others need to improve their understanding of volatility. Examining key aspects of stock market volatility, this comprehensive reference offers novel suggestions for accurately assessing the field.

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